The price action looks like weak fifth wave ED to complete impulse from the April low.... probably a-wave of a bigger pattern. In this case we should see b-wave lower into July for 20w cycle low.
Big picture alternate scenarios with impulse are bearish - this is c/Y-wave and we have Y wave as a flat correction or the fifth wave of an impulse completing from the 10.2022 low.
TECHNICAL PICTURE and ELLIOTT WAVES
Short term - it looks like completed pattern from the April low.
Intermediate term - bigger b-wave not just pullback into July for 20w cycle low. In red the alternate bearish scenarios.
Long term - zig-zag(from 2020) for y/B at 9y cycle high 2000-2007-2015-2024.
MARKET BREADTH INDICATORS
Market Breadth Indicators - with divergences, expect move lower.
McClellan Oscillator - below zero.
McClellan Summation Index - buy signal with divergence.
Weekly Stochastic of the Summation Index - sell signal.
Bullish Percentage - divergence.
Percent of Stocks above MA50 - divergence.
Advance-Decline Issues - divergence.
Fear Indicator VIX - long term multiple divergences.
HURST CYCLES
Short term cycles - 5w high this week and now lower into 20w low.
Long term cycles - 40w low right on schedule and now higher into 40w high.
Check the red line or up to the top channel again?
ReplyDeleteSide movement, what next?
ReplyDeleteno update for this week?
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