Oct 26, 2025

Update

The obvious is to count this as another wave up fifth wave most likely ending diagonal the first two charts... I think it is something else like January-February this year - it does not matter the outcome will be the same.

It looks like ending diagonal... but it could be the usual double zig-zag
Ending diagonal is the final wave, no mater the count a-b-c or extended fifth wave like this and other variations of an impulse.


The cash index looks like choppy double zig-zag. This huge bar and vertical decline is usually 3/c wave completed pattern which will explain the following move taking so long. It fits better with the RSI broken trend line and divergences plus cycles. It is the same like early this year - pattern high was not the price high, which does not cancel the correction.
If you apply the above to cycles th


Bitcoin great looking 40w cycle... the logical path and target for 4y cycle low.
More about bitcoin cycles - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J0hzGfLLKSg
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21 comments:

  1. AnonymousOct 27, 2025, 12:37:00 AM

    krasi, 6850! instant gap up 2nd time. does your count still works?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. KrasiOct 27, 2025, 4:40:00 AM

      Look at RSI - https://invst.ly/1cxh7a
      Is this strength? Is the double divergence not a double divergence? Is the broken trend line tested or what?
      What do you think if it works or not?

      Delete
    2. AnonymousOct 27, 2025, 6:35:00 AM

      can the RSI breakup the trend? do you track the volume of this move? is it high? I read article that say high, but I look at chart it say normal average not high. can you share what u see?

      Delete
    3. AnonymousOct 27, 2025, 6:44:00 AM

      and rate cut on wed fomc, cant the RSI rocket into highs and break the trend?

      Delete
    4. KrasiOct 28, 2025, 11:13:00 AM

      This is an end not beginning - FOMC is sell the news event.

      I do not follow volume. I do not see an edge using it. There is some volume indicators which are interesting.
      For example - https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=%21ITVMSPX&p=D&yr=4&mn=0&dy=0&id=p72202293911
      Not great momentum....

      Delete
  2. Lady SOct 27, 2025, 1:40:00 AM

    What now after the agriment with china, more and more upside

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    Replies
    1. KrasiOct 27, 2025, 4:27:00 AM

      For the record sell the news to the stupid sheeple.....

      Delete
  3. Lady SOct 28, 2025, 1:54:00 PM

    Short NDX

    ReplyDelete
  4. Lady SOct 29, 2025, 7:18:00 AM

    I have to close the Short today, it's go out of my channel

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. KrasiOct 30, 2025, 5:51:00 PM

      This is what happens when you do not know what you are doing - https://invst.ly/1c-834
      Sell the news after FOMC

      Delete
    2. AnonymousOct 30, 2025, 10:05:00 PM

      So that was top?…

      Delete
    3. KrasiOct 31, 2025, 12:24:00 AM

      Just 38% retracement one more wave for impulse is possible - https://invst.ly/1c-olw

      Delete
  5. AnonymousOct 31, 2025, 11:09:00 AM

    Could this be wave 5 of bigger 3rd wave since April lows?

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    1. AnonymousOct 31, 2025, 2:46:00 PM

      ... with anticipated wave 4 down to ma200, perhaps around 6400 in December, followed by final wave 5 (of V) in Q1 2026?

      Delete
    2. KrasiOct 31, 2025, 4:16:00 PM

      I am skeptical it feels more like the top....

      Delete
  6. AnonymousOct 31, 2025, 8:26:00 PM

    I think we much higher until next January. Then we should sell off. FED is back to increasing liquidity and more money printing. We are gonna fall until they tighten.

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  7. AnonymousOct 31, 2025, 9:59:00 PM

    How is fed increasing liquidity?

    ReplyDelete