Jan 24, 2026

Update

From the last high this is month 14 so we have the minimum length for 18 month high and this is 4 years after the previous important top. It is done or it could take a few more weeks.... I do not know.

The most simple view - wedge pattern which is an ending pattern, the price broke lower, gap closed, testing the broken trend line and now it is lower.
Or it could take a few more weeks to complete the c-wave with some bigger wedge or what ever it is.

16 comments:

  1. This will be such an epic fail - https://www.neowave.com/tradingblog/blog.asp?bid=147

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    1. I agree. LOL, c'mon Neely, since when is a rising wedge bullish? Per John Murphy, "... the market analyst should always be guided by the general maxim that a rising wedge is bearish, and a falling wedge is bullish." Then he continues to jump the shark with the assertion "Cash Level (S&P) 3491.00 will NOT be broken for 50+ Years!". Place your bets accordingly ...

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  2. Do you think from April it's A and we have to see B and C ?

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    1. No, if there is another higher high is 4/5 of c like this - https://invst.ly/1ey0hx

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  3. Thanks, do you see the bear flag at the dollar monthly chart ?

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    1. There is no bear flag the USD is bottoming - major low.

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  4. How do you see the crazy growth of silver? Is it too late to enter? Some analysts are pointing to further growth, given the international situation and the depreciation of currencies.

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    1. For me it is too late maybe there is some 4-5 waves left in the next 6-12 months, but it is too risky - https://invst.ly/1ezhfs
      Wait for a few years it will be cut in a half.

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  5. what is your call on SP500, you are expecting a bump higher and then down through mid summer - 10-15% down?

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    1. Topping now and 20%+ correction

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    2. wow~ that's 1200 pts of downward move! are u sure of that? the count looks to end at 6700-ish. what can cause a big down move like 15%?

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    3. You have really short memory... it is less than a year when we saw more than 1300 points loss from the 6000 level, but 1200 from 7000 is impossible - are u sure of that?

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  6. do you have a update SP500 chart? looks like bullish all round up?

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  7. The dollar break the Long term channel, eur almost 1.2

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