May 23, 2026
Update
As expected double top for diivergence on the daily chart. Perfect wave needs iv-v/5. It will run the stops and suck in the last sucker buying the "break out" while making double top with double divergence.
The next top was expected somewhere between mid and end of May - theere you have it 18 weeks, right on schedule.
Mind sharing your view on Oil and XLE for the coming months?
ReplyDeleteFor completed pattern one more wave - https://invst.ly/1hnj-h
DeleteBut this will be major top finishing the whole rise from 2020
Oil the same
18 weeks of higher highs again? what you mean?
ReplyDelete20 week cycle lasting average 16-18 weeks
DeleteIran war over already, still crash?
ReplyDeleteWhat has that to do with the stock market?
Deleteare you serious? macro perspectives affect how market moves.
DeleteFunnymentals are serious? There is a war up, there is no war up macro perspective my ass.
DeleteIf April 2025 was 4y(and 9y) cycle low then February 2025 was 4y high, not now
ReplyDeleteNo, between two highs there should be a low.
DeleteYes, October 2022 was that low.
DeleteSo January 2022 4y high, October 2022 4y low, February 2025 4y high, April 2025 4y low. Where is the mistake of this count?
There is no 4y lows every 2-3 years - this is the mistake
Deleteall time high again. where is the crash? it is likely never gonna crash.. the hyperinflation money printing will keep the market up forever.
ReplyDeleteDumb and dumber.... all kind of lame excuses.
DeleteI am seriously asking you, the market has been going up forever ever since start reading your blog many years ago. are you saying that spx will hit 7600 and drop non stop for 18 weeks? what is the catalyst? really cannot see how this will happen..
Delete18 weeks is from low to low not non stop.
DeleteThere is no need for a catalyst markets just drop.
Just watch and you will see how it happens.
DAX the flat is completed - https://invst.ly/1hnk4h
ReplyDeleteSPX 7548 ATH in future market now. are we there that?
ReplyDeletePatience trend line break first https://invst.ly/1ho8t8
DeleteIs that reversal the break?
DeleteWhat is the minimum downside target here?
And is 4900 you mention for mid-2027
It is too early. Support is 7000-7100. yes mid 2027
DeleteYesterday was the top?
ReplyDeletelets wait for this first - https://invst.ly/1ho8t8
DeleteAbout the 4y cycle lows. In several charts you have put October 2022 4y (and 7y) low
ReplyDeleteNo, probable 4y low from a 7y cycle not the 7y cycle low
DeleteMay be 19 May was 40d low, a litte longer
DeleteYes, it is possible.
Delete7539 was 5?
ReplyDeletedoesnt look bearish at all. 7600 at least by June.
DeleteLiving in fantasy land.... in denial
DeleteI am not trying to argue with you. I simply putting up the case - cannot see anything bearish, world cup, July 4 (250 yr anniversary), spaceX IPO, Iran war ending, everyone is on call options, how can this end?
DeleteAll this is a joke... not even worth commenting.
DeleteI really pray that you are right. I have alot of shorts stuck in this mega rally!
DeleteHi Krasi,
ReplyDeleteI remember you called where the 2020 crash would bottom within spitting distance, and you published it months in advance of the beginning of the crash. How low do you see this next move taking us?
The next important support level around 4900
DeleteFor mid 2027?
DeleteYes, when the next 18m cycle is completed.
DeleteThank you!
DeleteNow we have the minimum for completed pattern 15min chart v/v/5 - https://invst.ly/1hpjpu
ReplyDeleteThey are talking about peace deal finally getting signed. Oil and 10y goes down if that happens. In that case stocks continue going up. Don't disagree with cycles just curious to see how it unfolds
ReplyDeleteIt is called sell the news. And oil going down stocks up is not true just check the charts.... the same for 10y.
DeleteAnd NDX?
ReplyDeleteHello Krasi … thx for your comments . Even if still too early and waiting for signs of exhaustion , are you inclined of a slow drift to this summer trough of circa 6000, or more of the drop to October low ? (Or another more likely scenario ) thx a lot !
ReplyDeleteFirst support level 6100
Delete6100-6200
ReplyDeleteThe cash index a little bit different still missing the final v of v of 5 - https://invst.ly/1hqf10
ReplyDeleteDo you see any theme, sector, asset class that could perform well into 2027?
ReplyDeleteUSD and cash everything else goes down because everything else is in a bubble traded on margin.
DeleteUS, IRAN REACH AGREEMENT ON 60-DAY MOU TO EXTEND TRUCE: AXIOS
ReplyDeleterally again. no crash!!!!!!
Great bull markets top on good news!!!!! Sell the crash baby muhahahaha
DeleteThe mechanical flow of options can keep this mad market up forever, despite no sane person will ever buy stocks at this level. do you see ATH again 7560!? every fake news trump pumps, the market just got push up higher with no care for the real situation in Iran. if good news can be fake forever, how to sell the crash?
DeleteNo all this works for a while not for ever. When it turns lower just sell it.
DeleteSo basically this could keep going up for the rest of the year and it doesn’t matter because it will all be retracted back to 2008 levels one day? So this is the end of the cycle and there is nothing else to discuss? So weeks, months or years from now if it hasn’t retraced and we keep making new highs it’s just the end of the cycle? No other cycle or scenario can play out?
ReplyDeleteNo it is not going up for the rest of the year it is done.
DeleteNo there is no other scenario it is always the same - greed which ends in tears.
A bubble accelerates 1-2-3 until it crashes - https://invst.ly/1hr66x
ReplyDeleteThere is no muddle through, sideways consolidation or what ever fantasy you have.
It is always the same and this time is not different.
and what macro stories can this thesis fit into? sell on news of peace or bond yields lower? it just cant imagine to be true now.
Delete7000 is strong support, the machine is working, it's a good place to buy, and since 2022 it goes opposite the oil
Deletewat are the criteria consideration you have to drop such as big drop? FIBO? or trend lines?
DeleteThere is no need for a news event macro what ever it just turns lower. After that there is thousand excuses.
Delete7000 is just a bump on the way down nothing more.
Fibo and support level
What timeframe to 7k? And to 6100? And is there a chance to see 8k first before that?
DeleteIt is toping now there is no time for 8k. 7k soon in the next 2 months 6k in autumn October.
DeleteThere is no sign to get down, we have to see a reversal candle, and till now the market react to the oil
ReplyDeleteWow, the comment bubble
ReplyDeleteAnd many deleted... the herd going crazy. They know it is a bubble, they know how bubbles end, but do not want to accept it.... fighting like crazy with me because I am telling it loud.... like this will change anything:))))
DeleteRead the comments. It’s not bulls posting here. It’s people who missed out. Lots of cash on the sidelines. What happens when they finally start buying? We go higher. Your wrong. We still have one final leg that will push us much higher.
DeleteHahahahahaha
DeleteAll the bulls on the sidelines will have have field day buying much lower in a few weeks, and then much lower again, and again...
DeleteToday is Combo 13 strict, the 3 higher high TDcomo 13 was made on the 25th. This week completes 8 count at weekly, will we get to 9...
ReplyDeleteOn SMH it's 9
ReplyDeleteThanks for pointing it out. Yes, it is 9. The daily combo needs a min 6 more trading days above the 26th close. Perhaps the 9weekly is enough trouble. As Krasi mentioned, there is enough bars. Min met.
DeleteAnd it's depends on oil, yield semiconda
ReplyDeleteHello Krasi - I see a toping window between the 2nd and 8th June. Does that correlate with your fine tuning of cycles? I do know you mentioned June earlier as well
ReplyDeleteThere is enough bars - 10 with today and the pattern is mature enough.
DeleteFor more time we should see something like this - https://invst.ly/1hroae
Thanks Krasi, appreciated. Do agree, min met. One more with Ideal form sees top on the 5th June at this stage. With some minor waves, perhaps, adding a 1-2 more days to that. Complete before 17th June. TD Combo 13 Strict - completed on 29ht May. So may be we have enough...
DeleteTop in in dax and asx200, waiting for the SPX to finish its drink.
ReplyDeletehow do u justify the top is in for Dax and asx200?
DeleteNeely says start of a new bull market. He says index going parabolic soon. One of his arguments is this may be justified if there is USD currency devaluation did to inflation etc. What are your thoughts
ReplyDeleteHow did this work out in the 60-ties? Inflation is just another excuse.
DeleteHe is too arrogant with his waves(he thinks he knows it better) and he will be punished.
Neely's view is a concern as I respect his work, but it comes down to one's own objective knowledge which one can act on. It makes one work harder to justify their actions to self. Also ~20 year predictions are not tradeable information - marketing feel good, I told you so's, that's all they are, same as fundamental blah.
DeleteHe is totally detached from the reality - crash and destruction is planed long ago.
DeleteAs long as feds dont start reducing their balance sheet, part isnt over. Its all about fed balance sheet. Increasing balance sheet, multiple expansion of market. Reduction leads to decline. Same story every time.
ReplyDeletehttps://x.com/VolSignals/status/2060362303841644994 please read this. call options are doubling down to 8600. how can the market crash?
ReplyDeleteJust like that it turns lower and all with margin to the moon have to sell amplifying the sell off.
Delete