tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4363707944748952823.post4003102335876288766..comments2024-03-29T05:07:18.851+01:00Comments on practical technical analysis: Weekly previewKrasihttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07425885123775585052noreply@blogger.comBlogger29125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4363707944748952823.post-46684193794930255712017-04-01T04:55:28.065+02:002017-04-01T04:55:28.065+02:00Long shadow means the traders use the move up to s...Long shadow means the traders use the move up to sell their positions... there is supply.Krasihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07425885123775585052noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4363707944748952823.post-19564347927671795202017-03-31T22:07:19.768+02:002017-03-31T22:07:19.768+02:00GDXJ has such long upper shadow...what does it mea...GDXJ has such long upper shadow...what does it mean? some analysis says today is "low volume test", if it's true, short term I'm worried it may gap up to touch ma20 and then begin to fallAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4363707944748952823.post-41592027726382618932017-03-31T21:19:59.379+02:002017-03-31T21:19:59.379+02:00No change now 2 or b of B is running. The next mov...No change now 2 or b of B is running. The next move higher will make the difference. It does not look like it will gap lower and plunge.<br />Short term GDXJ no clue, I do not see an edge at the moment... more likely lower. <br />Krasihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07425885123775585052noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4363707944748952823.post-66736286732707648442017-03-31T20:30:58.074+02:002017-03-31T20:30:58.074+02:00Still expect up move to finish another leg of B or...Still expect up move to finish another leg of B or impulsive move up? Thanks. A little worried next Monday may be gap down? Thanks. Besides, GDXJ should expect more rebound up until exhaustion?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4363707944748952823.post-56969430378899349222017-03-30T19:06:11.612+02:002017-03-30T19:06:11.612+02:00It is an impulse so either 1 or a of BIt is an impulse so either 1 or a of BKrasihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07425885123775585052noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4363707944748952823.post-33642924259007358642017-03-30T17:06:50.838+02:002017-03-30T17:06:50.838+02:00Now spx touches MA20, prefer wave b or? At least w...Now spx touches MA20, prefer wave b or? At least we should see a pullback now? Thanks.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4363707944748952823.post-39250638294643382772017-03-30T06:31:15.952+02:002017-03-30T06:31:15.952+02:00Raymond curios to hear what strategies are you usi...Raymond curios to hear what strategies are you using?Krasihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07425885123775585052noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4363707944748952823.post-2672026658488992182017-03-30T06:29:40.046+02:002017-03-30T06:29:40.046+02:00I will sum it up this way - you like it or not:)
T...I will sum it up this way - you like it or not:)<br />Two of my friends traders make money trading options and they are saying it is much easier than trading stocks. The have tried to convince me a few time, I have tried it... it is not for me, probably I do not like it.<br />I do not have arguments against options trading. Yes, you have to keep an eye on the time component and volatility. There is a few strategies with high odds you are on the other side you are the casino/the bank and they always win:) and when you lose you make rollover:)<br />Take your time to understand options trading, try it and if you like it go for it.Krasihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07425885123775585052noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4363707944748952823.post-62096944353679496142017-03-30T05:39:37.842+02:002017-03-30T05:39:37.842+02:00i trade options for most part! shout me an email,...i trade options for most part! shout me an email, we can exchange some ideas. I have some good pdf references raymondjonesmails@gmail.comAnonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15915717822702179279noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4363707944748952823.post-80958206608142163722017-03-30T04:51:40.394+02:002017-03-30T04:51:40.394+02:00Thank you so much for the analysis. What's you...Thank you so much for the analysis. What's your opinion about options trading? You tutorial is very nice. Is it possible to comment or summarize options trading? Thanks. As far as I know, options trading involve not only direction but also timing, and it's pricing is nonlinear... so pretty tricky...Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4363707944748952823.post-11973404424354711902017-03-29T19:42:02.772+02:002017-03-29T19:42:02.772+02:00At least until the end of this week, the big boys ...At least until the end of this week, the big boys want to have nice numbers for the end of the quarter. I think next week will start higher too.<br />We have to see how the move develops before we can say if it is just b or we will see one more higher high. Krasihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07425885123775585052noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4363707944748952823.post-12727946716766250012017-03-29T17:36:31.218+02:002017-03-29T17:36:31.218+02:00Hi, how long do you expect the current short term ...Hi, how long do you expect the current short term up? Days or weeks? Are we in the intermediate term chart white line up move b? Thanks.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4363707944748952823.post-4817954797599519032017-03-29T13:24:54.027+02:002017-03-29T13:24:54.027+02:00I am not sure about the pattern in the next one mo...I am not sure about the pattern in the next one month. Gold miners look weak and USD should finish the correction, which is not bullish for PM rally in April.Krasihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07425885123775585052noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4363707944748952823.post-92207955215391363092017-03-29T12:00:26.006+02:002017-03-29T12:00:26.006+02:00Hi Krasi, thank you for your posting I have learnt...Hi Krasi, thank you for your posting I have learnt a lot from you, i recalled that you have mentioned in the past few posts that PM, PM miners and the market will go down for a while but it looks like whenever both the market and PM miners but PM is up, the PM has moved in the bullish prediction, do you think PM will continue this bullish trend until the french election?abc123https://www.blogger.com/profile/05212229635992605891noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4363707944748952823.post-57405810563952078762017-03-29T07:42:48.353+02:002017-03-29T07:42:48.353+02:00Nothing changed - if we see a higher high it will ...Nothing changed - if we see a higher high it will be short living and this will be the top of iii or 3, then we watch for iv or 4 (the second chart).Krasihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07425885123775585052noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4363707944748952823.post-44096565286875735302017-03-29T03:44:47.258+02:002017-03-29T03:44:47.258+02:00Hi Krasi
After the recent action so far what do yo...Hi Krasi<br />After the recent action so far what do you think, are we in iv of 3 or is it 4th waive? Could this develop into something more serious? From what you say about 40 day cycle this correction may be over, is it? From what I see it may be may be 4 of A correction. Still B and C to follow. What do you think?<br />Thank you Krasi<br /><br />Krisarnold Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4363707944748952823.post-40902363621839653772017-03-28T20:54:39.102+02:002017-03-28T20:54:39.102+02:00ThanksThanksAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4363707944748952823.post-38525151998789308242017-03-28T20:27:54.443+02:002017-03-28T20:27:54.443+02:00We had one more low and now this looks like the sh...We had one more low and now this looks like the short term bottom for the 40 day cycle.<br />Only XLF looks like clear impulse lower, for the SPX/DJI it could be just an a-b-c or impulse.<br />Just wait a few days, no need to guess or hurry to short.Krasihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07425885123775585052noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4363707944748952823.post-53611118179384391382017-03-28T05:59:51.760+02:002017-03-28T05:59:51.760+02:00The other indexes have different pattern and look ...The other indexes have different pattern and look like we are close to a short term bottom with the 40 day cycle close to a bottom too. So I do not think it will reverse and plunge.Krasihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07425885123775585052noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4363707944748952823.post-17107745113869886892017-03-27T23:46:35.501+02:002017-03-27T23:46:35.501+02:00Krasi,
I see completion of the "b" wave...Krasi,<br /><br />I see completion of the "b" wave for nasdaq as today or tomorrow. With another leg down to follow. What do you think?<br /><br />KaliAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4363707944748952823.post-31569054559247658712017-03-27T13:51:13.750+02:002017-03-27T13:51:13.750+02:00I'm thinking the USDJPY has broken critical su...I'm thinking the USDJPY has broken critical support as this appears to be an unwind of the yen carry trade from the November election. Since the election, yen down has translated to S&P up. This unwind still has a ways to go and should take the S&P down along with it is what I'm thinking. I'm simply open to the idea that once the carry trade unwinds, the USD may continue to fall but this time benefit both gold and the S&P.Lisa Giangrecohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03090368377278200295noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4363707944748952823.post-64635046210319949162017-03-27T13:19:22.696+02:002017-03-27T13:19:22.696+02:00Why should conventional market and miners move in ...Why should conventional market and miners move in the same direction? I am not aware of such correlation. I just watch the chart and do not try to couple it with something else on daily basis.<br />USDJPY moved lower... it is the same story - crossroad if it makes an a-b-c from the top or plunges much lower for 1-2-3. I think USD is bullish and PM bearish, but I wait to see confirmation first.Krasihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07425885123775585052noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4363707944748952823.post-85890715245420752592017-03-27T12:25:35.960+02:002017-03-27T12:25:35.960+02:00Krasi: the conventional market and gold are diverg...Krasi: the conventional market and gold are diverging here at least for now. The miners are lagging the metal which has shot much higher. I wonder whether this is a trap and the miners after a short spurt higher will decline along with the markets until April/May and both move up together in earnest from there with the conventional markets new highs. Maybe a test of that breakout point at 2100 on the S&P. USDJPY has broken support- good for gold- but maybe late in the cycle to gain any traction at this late stage. Regards.Lisa Giangrecohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03090368377278200295noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4363707944748952823.post-60489784773708454052017-03-27T08:05:53.450+02:002017-03-27T08:05:53.450+02:00The 20w cycle vary, but usually when there is one ...The 20w cycle vary, but usually when there is one longer one shorter follows and we have average 40 week cycle<br />The previous 40 week cycle was longer two longer 20 week cycles and the current 40 week cycle should be shorter that is why it is not a surprise that we have shorter 20 week cycle. I expect the current one to be with average length 14-18 weeks we have already one with 11 weeks length. Krasihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07425885123775585052noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4363707944748952823.post-33421965261287971132017-03-26T21:49:06.236+02:002017-03-26T21:49:06.236+02:00Krasi,
How is it that the cycles vary so much? Th...Krasi,<br /><br />How is it that the cycles vary so much? This 20 wk cycle was so much shorter than the previous two cycles? How does one account for this? Does this mean current correction will be longer than prior 2 corrections? <br /><br />Thanks,<br /><br />KaliAnonymousnoreply@blogger.com