tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4363707944748952823.post4672894335386195473..comments2024-03-28T16:24:02.291+01:00Comments on practical technical analysis: Weekly previewKrasihttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07425885123775585052noreply@blogger.comBlogger55125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4363707944748952823.post-51330578734570168092019-04-26T21:47:50.019+02:002019-04-26T21:47:50.019+02:00The pullback I see is just wave 4 which should sta...The pullback I see is just wave 4 which should stay above 2840 so we should see 2960 first.Krasihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07425885123775585052noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4363707944748952823.post-64000386736458825532019-04-26T20:26:21.733+02:002019-04-26T20:26:21.733+02:00krasi 2840 gap has never been filled do you think ...krasi 2840 gap has never been filled do you think we hit 2960 first before we drop your thoughts?louis lombardihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10866275342122214699noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4363707944748952823.post-78534928174290950982019-04-26T14:47:41.834+02:002019-04-26T14:47:41.834+02:00I think theoretically there is now such condition....I think theoretically there is now such condition. For example some are counting important low not 2009 but 2011. Not all agree with shorter cycles and they count nominal cycle 9 years -> 2002-2011-2020... hahaha now when you asked this count points to important low 2020 too:)))<br /><br />For me the only exceptions should be pattern which makes higher low.... triangle for example.<br />Currently gold is good example the decline which is running could finish with higher low and the pattern will look like triangle, but this is fine for 4 year cycle low - from this point the next big move(cycle) begins.Krasihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07425885123775585052noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4363707944748952823.post-18664060079712805092019-04-26T14:32:09.144+02:002019-04-26T14:32:09.144+02:00Krasi, if in this year or in 2020 there is going t...Krasi, if in this year or in 2020 there is going to be a 4 years low cycle, is it required that we see new lows below December?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4363707944748952823.post-42854730909819862652019-04-25T10:29:17.086+02:002019-04-25T10:29:17.086+02:00I had time to look at the charts closely..... wave...I had time to look at the charts closely..... waves 4-5 will look great for finished pattern, but I have this bad taste in my mouth..... it feels wrong. For example NDX from the March low two legs higher with the same size and in the middle 38% retracement - classic a-b-c. SP500 the same just the retracement is 50%. It feels like zig-zag and not an impulse. The whole count from the low like w-x-y... by the way DAX has this look and XOI/XLE sector which I watch for hints too.<br /><br />I am watching crude oil/XLE for hints because of high correlation since Jan.2018 and for me XLE has reversed - https://imgur.com/a/eyLpmlv<br />The same count works for the stock indexes with w-x-y.<br /><br /><br />I hate the corrective patterns.... you can not be sure until you see reversal with impulse.<br />With 4-5/c you can take a risk to nail the top, with this count it is prudent to wait for confirmation.<br />Looking the indicators next move should be test of MA50. If it is a zig-zag we can talk about wave 4, ED, last leg up 3000. If we see an impulse it is over. <br /><br />The price is well above MA50/MA200 so do not expect crash.... no need to hurry with short trades. Wait for confirmation you will not miss much.Krasihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07425885123775585052noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4363707944748952823.post-9007430779831218692019-04-25T05:24:14.713+02:002019-04-25T05:24:14.713+02:00Those who say all the time EW does not work, do no...Those who say all the time EW does not work, do not see the forest for the trees.<br />Corrective waves are difficult and not getting right some b wave or 4 or other corrective structure does not make the tool worthless. <br />Important is the message - it is corrective structure and you know what to expect next.Krasihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07425885123775585052noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4363707944748952823.post-16119784136014877802019-04-25T05:21:14.568+02:002019-04-25T05:21:14.568+02:00market is trading over 120 percent of gdp
market is trading over 120 percent of gdp<br />louis lombardihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10866275342122214699noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4363707944748952823.post-75251253978809508032019-04-25T05:19:50.590+02:002019-04-25T05:19:50.590+02:00When you see finished pattern C if you expect impu...When you see finished pattern C if you expect impulsive selling, extreme market breadth, indicators with divergences and the price in the time window for important low.Krasihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07425885123775585052noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4363707944748952823.post-53614419545431348702019-04-25T05:18:04.139+02:002019-04-25T05:18:04.139+02:00I do not know what you mean with shortest cycles.....I do not know what you mean with shortest cycles.... The market should make a high of 40 week cycle degree and turn lower.<br />The indexes look tired only the tech sector holding them at elevated levels.<br />I am not sure about 3000 and now everybody with 3100 ??? Where comes this number from??? Krasihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07425885123775585052noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4363707944748952823.post-3528257109932573682019-04-25T05:13:30.241+02:002019-04-25T05:13:30.241+02:00There is no tool suitable for picking tops. Trying...There is no tool suitable for picking tops. Trying to front run the market (nailing tops/bottoms) does not pay out in the long run.<br />"All we can wait for is an impulsive decline" - Exactly if some one wants to short the market should wait for confirmation. When it turns lower the market will not crash for a day, there is enough time.Krasihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07425885123775585052noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4363707944748952823.post-67113902250712005072019-04-25T00:34:12.280+02:002019-04-25T00:34:12.280+02:00Well said, waiting is not a problem EW says we wil...Well said, waiting is not a problem EW says we will hit 2100 sometime later. If its not right now how to know when to buy when we have impulsive selling.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4363707944748952823.post-81561184092156955862019-04-24T22:44:17.652+02:002019-04-24T22:44:17.652+02:00I kind of agree though, in this environment EW is ...I kind of agree though, in this environment EW is not a good tool for picking tops. All we can wait for is an impulsive decline at some stage be it 3000, 3050, 3100. Until that happens you're all wrong at the momentVamusehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01457154372493365222noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4363707944748952823.post-74650175173171292352019-04-24T22:36:06.750+02:002019-04-24T22:36:06.750+02:00If we see 3100 in may, shortest cycles ?If we see 3100 in may, shortest cycles ?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4363707944748952823.post-52727903240788754642019-04-24T21:29:25.902+02:002019-04-24T21:29:25.902+02:00Why do you keep coming back again and again if it ...Why do you keep coming back again and again if it is "pathetic and disgusting"? :-) <br />Please move on... we are not insisting that you stay. :-) VBhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04902398739866814728noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4363707944748952823.post-52659955546181977252019-04-24T20:38:36.324+02:002019-04-24T20:38:36.324+02:00EW says 3100 see above:)))) and I am wrong anyway...EW says 3100 see above:)))) and I am wrong anyway:)))Krasihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07425885123775585052noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4363707944748952823.post-67568661736204148902019-04-24T20:27:09.261+02:002019-04-24T20:27:09.261+02:00I thought people were deluded thinking of 3000??I thought people were deluded thinking of 3000??Vamusehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01457154372493365222noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4363707944748952823.post-34730572289039952772019-04-24T18:19:32.054+02:002019-04-24T18:19:32.054+02:00It is looking like expanding ending diagonal, whic...It is looking like expanding ending diagonal, which means drop to around 2860 and higher to around 3000. Krasihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07425885123775585052noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4363707944748952823.post-28644122800211127802019-04-24T17:16:49.759+02:002019-04-24T17:16:49.759+02:00https://imgur.com/a/d6VLPONhttps://imgur.com/a/d6VLPONlouis lombardihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10866275342122214699noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4363707944748952823.post-31395814309138493582019-04-24T17:00:05.378+02:002019-04-24T17:00:05.378+02:00i just drew a line upi just drew a line uplouis lombardihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10866275342122214699noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4363707944748952823.post-24917203125232517622019-04-24T14:37:14.495+02:002019-04-24T14:37:14.495+02:00This is one option which I am watching.... cycles ...This is one option which I am watching.... cycles will look betterKrasihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07425885123775585052noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4363707944748952823.post-6901686800526359432019-04-24T13:50:34.323+02:002019-04-24T13:50:34.323+02:00Then wave E to 2100-2200 for q1 2020 because wave ...Then wave E to 2100-2200 for q1 2020 because wave E is the longest.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4363707944748952823.post-84377820917956993112019-04-24T13:31:23.420+02:002019-04-24T13:31:23.420+02:00It is possible if we see decline in three waves......It is possible if we see decline in three waves....Krasihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07425885123775585052noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4363707944748952823.post-22106516195703057572019-04-24T12:55:32.776+02:002019-04-24T12:55:32.776+02:00Triangule expansive ?Triangule expansive ?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4363707944748952823.post-89124556896775102402019-04-24T08:16:10.641+02:002019-04-24T08:16:10.641+02:00Yes, I see it.... this whole impulse from the Marc...Yes, I see it.... this whole impulse from the March low looks strange now like consisting of zig-zagsKrasihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07425885123775585052noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4363707944748952823.post-72530576591482858192019-04-24T06:12:22.927+02:002019-04-24T06:12:22.927+02:00My thoughts are the same like last several weeks w...My thoughts are the same like last several weeks we need one more down 4 and up 5 for finished pattern.<br />When we see 4 I can measure 5 currently using the usual Fibo levels is 3010:)<br />How did you come up with that?Krasihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07425885123775585052noreply@blogger.com