Feb 14, 2026
Update
SP500 tested the previous highs and turned lower printig bearish weekly candle - it does not look good.... watching a major top in a slow motion for more than three months.
High probability the pattern is complete - bounce early next week and turn lower. Alternate it could take another week for triangle wave c.
Look at the weekly candle - do you spot the difference?
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
Can you explain why you put 7y cycle in 2022 and 9y in 2025?
ReplyDeleteThe Hurst cycle is 9 years, but there is clear 7 year cycle too. This are the 4y cycle lows for the two different cycles.
Delete7 year cycle - https://invst.ly/1fh822
9 year cycle - https://invst.ly/1fh82t
Then 2025 was also 4y low for the next 7y cycle?
Deleteyes
DeleteWhere do you think price is going during the next 1-3 months? Back to the highs of 2024? Thx
ReplyDeleteThe next important low should be in June and I think the decline will be 20% or bigger.
DeleteI can not say how fast will the price move and where it will be in two months.
If SPX goes down November 2025 lows and therefore the 40w cycle fails, will it be possible to see new ath ?
ReplyDeleteIt will fail because 18m low is coming. But this is not a guarantee that the top will not be tested - the current 18m cycle is right translated.
DeleteS&P500 done here, or more upside into next week?
ReplyDeleteWith a high next week it will look better for completed 20d and 5w high.
DeleteThis week 5w low ?
ReplyDeleteNo, just 20d low
DeleteWe could also consider October 2023 as 4y-7y cycle low insead 2022 ?
ReplyDeleteIt is possible cycle lows are at pattern which not always is the lowest low... but after October 2023 there is a zig-zag which does not fit much in the picture - https://invst.ly/1flo4-
DeleteImpulse a-wave b-wave some kind with triangle, but what we do with this zig-zag?
Maybe it is an impulse and it is not finished... but if this is the third wave which is obviously very strong why the RSI divergence it does not fit.
I would prefer this pattern makes more sense - https://invst.ly/1flnni