Long term - update

Happy New Year!!!!

All assets show similar pattern - we have 4y cycle high behind us and in 2023 we should see the final declines into 4y cycle low.
The current view for the next 6 months:
- Stocks - one more push higher then final leg lower for 4 year cycle low.
- Bonds - after one sell off the move higher into 4 year cycle high will continue.
- USD - maybe we saw the high, but when we see fear and all the other asset classes sell off, I expect strong move higher even if it is a lower high.
- Precious metals/miners - final leg lower and 9 year cycle low.
- Crude Oil - the correction lower to continue.



- STOCKS
I think the correction could last until March/April for 18m high, but the trend is lower for 4 year cycle low.

- BONDS
we saw one final flush lower and 4 year cycle low now moving higher into 4 year cycle high.

- FOREX
I was expecting to see the high and it seems we have a reversal.
Next year we should see fear which means spike higher for the USD probably lower high then the bigger decline begins.... I guess something like this(EUR/USD chart).

- GOLD/SILVER/MINERS
Gold - the bigger trend is lower until we see the 4y/9y cycle low. Very strong November it looks like reversal, but it will be strange to see the 4y low in just 2.5 years.

In fact the 9y cycle counts visually better if you divide it in three 3x2.6 years roughly 7.5-8 years, but the result is exactly the same Q4.2023 - the average length for 9y cycle.

GDXJ - miners the same cycle pattern we should see one final decline for 9 year cycle low and completed double zig-zag.

Closer look - perfect pattern with Fibo measurements price and time looks like this:

- CRUDE OIL
We saw a high as expected, this should be 4 year cycle high and now declining into 4 year cycle low.