Sep 20, 2026

Update

I think we have impulse lower better visible if you look at other indices like DJ,NYSE,SPXEW. The logical behaviour is to see wave 4 and 5w high, then the final low with 10w low followed by retracement higher for 10w high - all this in the next one month. Alternate move into 10w high is already under way.

One more low for wave 5?
The shorter cycles.... alternate we have 5w high and move into 10w high has started.

23 comments:

  1. Can you provide your long term chart into Q1 2027…. Thank you Krasi

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    1. This is not very long term it is the 20w cycle, with the current pace - low in November, high in January, low in March.

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  2. What about the ndx, it looks like new ATH, look at MSH, there is more room to go up

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    1. What about NDX... zig-zag testing the previous high 4 months later is not promising.
      b-wave at 20w high with divergences if it makes new high, a new high will trap the bulls nothing more.

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  3. But they go down with 3 wave, it's not impulse

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    1. It is the top scheduled for September... there is no but live with that.

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  4. 40w high from January 2026?

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    1. I see it as 20w high, January was not 40w high it was earlier and the 40w high is in June.
      it is visible on NDX - https://invst.ly/1k5rz1

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    2. The buyers come in the support, you have to see lower high, lower low first

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  5. Is it possible since March 2025 to March 2026 were 3 cycles of 20w(16-16-19)? for a very long 40w cycle?

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    1. Probably I do not see how else to count it.... see the NDX link above.

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    2. Then 18m low could be in November?

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    3. I doubt it, I think a new 18m cycle started the end of March 2026

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  6. What would your short term chart indicate as of today? Thx

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  7. 2022 was 4y low in gold?

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  8. Thoughts on Dax?

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  9. Is it possible to see at the same time in the next months/years dxy up, tlt up and spx down?

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