Oct 4, 2025

Update

The impulse from last week was most like third wave and this week the fifth wave. I see the pattern shown below all this with RSI/MACD divergence, market breadth divergence and at week 33 from the previous important high.
Short term v/5/c is possible, for example the DAX will look better with one more high.
Intermediate term - the same like last week expect intermediate term high and decline into November.
Long term I explained many times it could be 4y high.

NDX I see two impulses and it is confirmed by RSI.
DJ the same even more clear.

21 comments:

  1. Hi Krasi! What if we are seing a big accumulation phase in DAX and other european markets before further continuation to the upside into 2026?
    I also favour a drop from current levels, just trying to stay open minded…

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    Replies
    1. One more high is possible it is not accumulation(it means something else) - https://invst.ly/1cktu7

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    2. If we see a higher high it should complete early this week, or?

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  2. I see your long term chart where the SPX drop to 4100-4500 level, is that what is going to happen this year? every market in the world, today nikkei is up 2800pts or 4%. will this invalidate your count on the SPX??

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    Replies
    1. Not this year. No Nikkei is not different 5 waves from 2020 with divergence and this is the second leg from 2009 so major top.

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    2. so not this year to 4100-4500, would it be next year? I really can't believe this, never in my life I see markets goes up forever... what would be an ideal count going to end of this year. I hope not 7000.

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    3. May be you would have missed rally like I did, and all I can say after following EW counts, this is just a theory and works less than 50% of time, look at the analysis provided by EW from April low, they called B-wave at 5800 and that's wrong, and now calling it as 3rd wave or 5th wave end, and last month indexes went up 5%. If correction happens, it will be 10%, indexes already up 5% from last month. What are we missing by not following EW?

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    4. When you do not know how to use EW do not use it, but do not explain me it does not work.
      I am tired to listen the same bullshit all over again.

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  3. I am also tired of waiting. I know all the indicators are red. even Buffett has 350b cash on hold without entering the market. why it just wont die?

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    Replies
    1. Because topping is a process and it takes time.

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  4. The short term v/5/c wave - https://invst.ly/1co1x6

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  5. Would you say the top is in in Gold?

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    Replies
    1. RSI on the daily time frame hit fresh high so weakness can not be confirmed - only speculate.

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  6. The gold is topped just for now but the market has just rotation

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    Replies
    1. Rotating into what? Or you heard it somewhere....

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  7. Rotating from gold, from meta to mst

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    Replies
    1. And now rotating back to gold... from meta to mst - you do not have a clue what you are talking about.

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  8. krasi finally spx breaks on trump, is this the end of ath coming?

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