Apr 14, 2024

Weekly preview

A few pops higher - the dip buyers waiting for 10% higher, no 6000 sounds better... all sold of course. Expect 5w low next week then higher for 5w cycle high to trap even more dip buyers.


TRADING
Trading trigger - sell signal.
Analysis - this is intermediate term high and a few months lower will follow.
P.S. - for a trade both analysis and trigger should point in the same direction.


TECHNICAL PICTURE and ELLIOTT WAVES
Short term - w-x-y running, should be completed in a few days.


Intermediate term - intermediate term top and a few months lower should follow.


Long term - 4y cycle high the end of 2021, now a-b-c lower into 4y cycle low. Alternate this is the top of wave-B from 2009.


MARKET BREADTH INDICATORS
Market Breadth Indicators - in sell mode.
McClellan Oscillator - below zero.
McClellan Summation Index - sell signal.
Weekly Stochastic of the Summation Index - sell signal.
Bullish Percentage - moving lower.
Percent of Stocks above MA50 - moving lower.
Advance-Decline Issues - moving lower.
Fear Indicator VIX - moving higher.


HURST CYCLES
Short term cycles - close to 20d/5w low... a few more days.


Week 24 for the 40w cycle. Probably 20w low at week 20 in March and expected 40w cycle low in June.

11 comments:

  1. This is more than 5w low

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    1. Rsi is extremely low here. I expect some kind of peace talk news by Wednesday

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    2. Equity charts setting up nicely for bearish divergences on weekly chart.

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  2. We have clear impulse lower is it c or 3.... https://invst.ly/14fmmy

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  3. Today seemed like the low of something. Morning pump felt like a small C wave

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  4. Impulse complete?

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    Replies
    1. If this is an impulse the indices are close to the bottom of the third wave.

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  5. just looks like ABC of a B wave is complete. Kinda slow down move for a wave 3.

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