May 10, 2026

Update

The impulse playing out as expected - DJ looks like ED,NDX/SPX with normal impulse.
Pattern and cycles are in the late stages... next week should be game over.

The final impulse playing out as expected, currently in v/5.
DJ will be the ED completed....
Daily cycles late in the cycle may be a few more days.
The upper trend line has been reached with double RSI divergence on the weekly chart. Impulse or zig-zag - in both cases it is a significant high. All this four years after the previous important top.

41 comments:

  1. Nice but the momentum is very strong

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  2. And if this goes to 7700 -7800 where would that put us in the cycle? I'm not talking about a straight line. Maybe consolidate around here for awhile maybe even retest the low. But much higher before any real crash. Possible?

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    1. Cycles and market breadth are pointing to different outcome.

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  3. If last March was 18m low, where to fit 18m high ?

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    1. In that chart if last March was 18m low then January must be 18m high and 4y too

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  4. Weird how Neely, in his latest long-term chart projections, has the same ED seen as Krasi has noted on his long-term chart (last) above, but delineates the ED as a CONTINUATION PATTERN (?) versus a topping/reversal pattern as shown by Krasi. WTH?

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    1. What is his longer term forecast? 9k this year and 12K next year?

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    2. For the S&P(cash), he predicts price to breakout UPWARD out of the ED @ ~8,200, and rise to ~32,000 by year 2032 or so. So not only heading for the Moon, but eventually, Mars.

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  5. DJ and DAX ready for a move higher into the end of next week?

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    1. Day 5 for the 20d cycle high so yes we should the high next week.

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    2. A daily close above Monday Low and yesterday high would support that idea

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    3. DAX is tricky. Don't like the bearish gap this morning if there should be continuation up into next week.

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    4. Yes, something does not feel right... I am trying to decode the pattern, but it is a mess.
      The end of April should be 5w low and accordingly pattern low. After that it does not look like completed figure.

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    5. What is the bullish option from current levels?

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    6. c-wave for a flat - https://invst.ly/1hgh2p

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  6. Doesn't look like a top of nvda is breaking out

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    1. Learn some basic technical analysis first....

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    2. I don't understand this comment. From a technical analysis standpoint we are in a bull market. Higher highs and higher lows, price above 200 day, upward trend channels, price action, oscillators are kinda neutral though. What TA are you seeing that's bearish?



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    3. A wedge with double divergence weekly chart is not a break out but exactly the opposite major top.

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  7. Krasi, it is not clear when you say higher next week .. but game over ...kindly explain?

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    1. First higher is for DJ/DAX and second one week compared to 17 years it does not matter.

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    2. Thanks for the clarification. So the top that you expect is in time or price or both? Obviously no crystal ball here, but that is the trigger? Even i am surprised at how a narrow breadth is holding up everything.

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  8. SPX three zig-zags so far the odds are pointing to ED for v/5 - https://invst.ly/1he8zy
    NDX different count the same outcome - https://invst.ly/1he95b
    DJI a little bit higher will look better - https://invst.ly/1he974

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    1. All three indices reached the targets NDX and DJ as shown on the charts above SPX not an ED but still the same price target v=i/5 - https://invst.ly/1hf1k2

      The pattern I have followed is now done.....

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    2. Well crap. I guess we were wrong on the pattern cause it appears we are in a bull market and it will keep going up over the the next few years. I mean that's exactly what it's doing in front of our eyes.

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  9. So, the NDX yesterday was 5 of 5?

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    1. Have you looked at the chart at all? No today is v/5

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  10. so is there a top or not?

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    1. This is a wrong question. It does not work this way. There is possible top - it has to be confirmed.

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  11. At 4H chart I see 5 of 5 but nvda has to give more 2%

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  12. For confirmation we have to see lower high, lower low

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  13. Right on schedule impulse in the opposite direction..... zero "smart" comments today.

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    1. Until it hits a new high next week.

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    2. If your bullish this is exactly what you want to see. You need a pull back for the next leg up. Just watch.

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    3. If you are bullish you want to see it bleeding into the 18m low in July not going vertical - now it is 100% sure it is game over.

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    4. thx for your analysis Krasi. The bullish view being a slow bleed into july with an necessarily approximate and hard pin target of 6000, what is the alternate more bearish view ? Thx !

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    5. All the way lower to the trend line around 5500 or breaking it and stopping at the next support 4800.

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  14. here is a smart comment for you - 7400 total holds and only goes up.

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  15. "Smart" comments for the record... and a good laugh later

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