Jan 5, 2025

2025 what to expect....

Sharp decline the first half of the year in the range 20%-30% followed by retracement or higher high... probably for the rest of the year. After we see the decline we can make some conclusions what to expect after that.

From pattern perspective the move from the important low in 2022 is complete and we have two legs from the covid low in 2020. So either we have:
- completed pattern zig-zag and reversal, the first decline is usually followed by deep retracement.
- or wave 4 decline of the same degree as the one from 2022 followed by wave 5 and higher high.

From cycle perspective... explained already how the 7 year cyle and 9 year Hurst cycle synchronize:
- the 7 year cycle has series of short-short/long-long cycles and next year is time for the next important cycle low.
- the 9 year Hurst cycle - if you stick to the theory next year should be 4 year cycle low followed by M-pattern and reversal into 9y cycle low.
Best fit 4y cycle and the 40w cycle since 2020, the pattern - impulse shown which is not a guarentee.....