Jan 5, 2025

2025 what to expect....

Sharp decline the first half of the year in the range 20%-30% followed by retracement or higher high... probably for the rest of the year. After we see the decline we can make some conclusions what to expect after that.

From pattern perspective the move from the important low in 2022 is complete and we have two legs from the covid low in 2020. So either we have:
- completed pattern zig-zag and reversal, the first decline is usually followed by deep retracement.
- or wave 4 decline of the same degree as the one from 2022 followed by wave 5 and higher high.

From cycle perspective... explained already how the 7 year cyle and 9 year Hurst cycle synchronize:
- the 7 year cycle has series of short-short/long-long cycles and next year is time for the next important cycle low.
- the 9 year Hurst cycle - if you stick to the theory next year should be 4 year cycle low followed by M-pattern and reversal into 9y cycle low.
Best fit 4y cycle and the 40w cycle since 2020, the pattern - impulse shown which is not a guarentee.....

8 comments:

  1. oh man! this sounds like this year is gonna be a buy the dip year again! if your chart is correct, then DCA now may not be that bad thing after all.

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  2. 4800 isn't a bad drop at all. not the end of the world. kinda drop. nothing to be scared.

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    1. Yes, nothing burger 20% lower today 100% higher tomorrow....
      Let me guess the crypto generation...
      Another prediction for you - you and all of your generation will lose everything.

      Delete
  3. Another double digit rise likely for sp500 and global indices, let's prepare for the new Trump era and the return of common sense, once Western communism is put at the door. Giorgia Meloni Musk and Trump for a better World.

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    1. Obviously you bought "Trump the savior" bullshit good luck with that.
      Trump, Musk,Meloni and all of their kind are installed actors for the sheeple to think that they have a choice and they are winning against the bad guys.
      The awakening will be really rude..... if you awake at all. It is just part of the same theater.....

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  4. Thank you Krasi

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