Dec 20, 2025

Update

Move lower now higher... if we see the usual drift higher for the holidays the 10w high will be completed.
So far the move higher is simple zig-zag and "surprise" lower before Christmas is possible then higher.... in fact this looks more likely.


Last week I was talking about triangle/wedge/ED but not clear so far - if we see lower low next week one possible pattern is triangle followed by ED. Market breadth is showing important low in November which means important pattern low.

Dec 14, 2025

Update

FOMC was a high as expected and the inidices turned lower on Friday. Intermediate term I expect up and down for a few weeks to form 10w high and low then the final high 40w/18m/4y right on schedule.
The big picture - I think we have the 40w low and now the final c-wave is running. The blow off the strong wave is behind us the second wave will be the weak wave, the topping.

Up and down... following the cycles it should look like as shown on the chart.
The bigger pichture a-b-c - the a-wave was the blow off and it is over now the c-wave the weaker one will be topping. Not sure at the moment how exactly it will look like diagonal,triangle,wedge something like this.
P.S. Of course the EW experts will count it as impulse and now 5 of 5.... cycles and inidcators does not confirm it.