Тrading diary / Position trading, Swing trading, Daily trading / Technical analysis Дневник / Практическо приложение на технически анализ / Споделяне на идеи
Nov 30, 2017
Update
Bigger impulse, this is the top of wave 3.
Interesting Emerging markets do not follow, European markets do not follow, tech stock do not follow, VIX with a spike higher....
Again there is no such EW rule and praxis is different than the theory. If you try to comply to all possible rules especially on such low degree of waves you are doomed to fail.
Very bold Krasi! I'm surprised you took the chance to call the end of a wave 3 of such small degree with such conviction given what you said about only trading intermediate term...I am surprised because you are very accurate on these calls and don't trade them :) well done though and I very much appreciate these mid-week calls, one day would love to know what the trigger was that gives you this much conviction :) As for the 'Anonymous' comment, I believe I know exactly what he/she is referring to: overlapping waves - but if your wave count is correct, I recommend he/she draw an extended trend line on the 60min chart from 11/15 at 15:30 (ii) touching 11/27 at 15:30..it allows for a (iv) around 2620 tomorrow and 2680's wave v next week.
Now the pattern looks much more clear compared to a few days ago. My short term calls are not so accurate:) and I do not have the time to chase them that is why I do not trade them.
Your intraday call yesterday was great timing?!?! I guess we'll see what happens Friday...but personally I can't wait for this tax plan to be finally enacted, I think that will be the final straw/catalyst where the market plunges...the longer it's delayed the higher the market goes.
Is wave 4 is quick one or complex and takes longer time? It looks like SPX is still strong, especially QQQ should be short term bottoming? But XBI looks like another down wave is still there... Is it possible for XBI down while SPX up for wave 5. Thanks.
It should be over if you mean wave 4 from the chart above. Yes it is possible XBI made a top 2 months ago. This final wave for SPX should last a few days so it is not a problem for XBI to make a short pause and wait for the major indexes.
Hello Traders! I have started the Blog with the idea to concentrate on technical analysis and signals. Any questions, ideas, opinions, and comments are welcome.
Здравейте трейдъри! Стартирах блога с цел да се концентрираме върху техническия анализ. Всякакви въпроси, идеи, мнения, коментари са добре дошли.
Krasi, the líne ii-iv is not correct. That line is above the wave iii
ReplyDeleteWhich line do you mean? The yellow lines?
DeleteNo. If you draw line ii-iv, that line is above wave iii and that is not right. Sorry for my bad english
DeleteNo clue what you mean..... I do no see the labels breaking any EW rules and I do not know EW rules about lines connecting labels
DeleteI mean this: https://www.fairbinaryoptions.com/academy/elliott-waves-trading-the-2-4-trend-line-break/
DeleteAgain there is no such EW rule and praxis is different than the theory. If you try to comply to all possible rules especially on such low degree of waves you are doomed to fail.
DeleteVery bold Krasi! I'm surprised you took the chance to call the end of a wave 3 of such small degree with such conviction given what you said about only trading intermediate term...I am surprised because you are very accurate on these calls and don't trade them :) well done though and I very much appreciate these mid-week calls, one day would love to know what the trigger was that gives you this much conviction :) As for the 'Anonymous' comment, I believe I know exactly what he/she is referring to: overlapping waves - but if your wave count is correct, I recommend he/she draw an extended trend line on the 60min chart from 11/15 at 15:30 (ii) touching 11/27 at 15:30..it allows for a (iv) around 2620 tomorrow and 2680's wave v next week.
ReplyDeleteNow the pattern looks much more clear compared to a few days ago. My short term calls are not so accurate:) and I do not have the time to chase them that is why I do not trade them.
DeleteYour intraday call yesterday was great timing?!?! I guess we'll see what happens Friday...but personally I can't wait for this tax plan to be finally enacted, I think that will be the final straw/catalyst where the market plunges...the longer it's delayed the higher the market goes.
ReplyDeleteThere is always the option that I am wrong.... and this is the top:)
DeleteIs wave 4 is quick one or complex and takes longer time? It looks like SPX is still strong, especially QQQ should be short term bottoming? But XBI looks like another down wave is still there... Is it possible for XBI down while SPX up for wave 5. Thanks.
ReplyDeleteIt should be over if you mean wave 4 from the chart above.
DeleteYes it is possible XBI made a top 2 months ago. This final wave for SPX should last a few days so it is not a problem for XBI to make a short pause and wait for the major indexes.
I see. But it should test the low again? either small wave 2 or wave 5? Because the rebound is too strong and looks weird...
DeleteSPX should not test the low it should be higher to finish the advance from mid November.
Delete