Oct 13, 2024

Weekly preview

The wedge is playing out... overall nothing new to add when completed it will mark important high - 40w cycle high.


TRADING
Trading trigger - buy signal.
Analysis - long term topping process for important high 4y cycle high. Intermediate term higher into 40w cycle high.
P.S. - for a trade both analysis and trigger should point in the same direction.


TECHNICAL PICTURE and ELLIOTT WAVES
Short term - it looks like wedge in the final wave.


Intermediate term - it looks like complex pattern for the Y-wave.


Long term - double zig-zag(from 2020) for y/B at 9y cycle high 2000-2007-2015-2024.


MARKET BREADTH INDICATORS
Market Breadth Indicators - turned lower.
McClellan Oscillator - below zero.
McClellan Summation Index - sell signal.
Weekly Stochastic of the Summation Index - sell signal.
Bullish Percentage - turned lower.
Percent of Stocks above MA50 - turned lower.
Advance-Decline Issues - in the middle of the range.
Fear Indicator VIX - in the upper part of the range.


HURST CYCLES
Short term cycles - shorter 20d cycles to fit the pattern. Alternate at 20d high with one more for important top.


Higher into 40w high the fifth one for the current 4y cycle high.... it is mature, maybe it has one more 20d cycle or not.

4 comments:

  1. DJI shows more clear the pattern and cycles - https://invst.ly/16t8zh

    ReplyDelete
  2. End September could be 10w high

    ReplyDelete
  3. are you short anything? how are you playing this? or waiting for confirmation?

    ReplyDelete