Aug 2, 2025
Quick update
Small waves 4/5 followed by bearish weekly reversal candle, the pattern has been completed right on schedule and now move lower has started.
This is week 17 so in the next 1-3 weeks, probably mid-August, we should see 20w cycle low and higher into September.
The next important lows/highs are 40w low November/December and 40w high February/March. When the market reverses it is gradually not with a crash - what I wan to say is between now and February/March 2026 expect series of lows and highs and after that the market will dive lower. For examples look at years January-August.2000, May-December.2007, August.2021-March.2022
For now assume that there is one more high and b-wave has started, but look for the exit.
Perfect waves and Fibo measurements.
Support area and MA200 should be the target
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The DAX - https://invst.ly/1bp4lb
ReplyDeletePossible expanding ending diagonal...
can you show us your view on Nasdaq
ReplyDeleteprobably the same - https://invst.ly/1bp896
Deleteone more down up
Krasi, TLT (monthly chart) hasn't gotten anywhere close to even a 0.382 retracement of the prior 2020-2024 butt-kicking it's received. Do you see anything in that long-term chart for any potential for it to at least rise to that aforementioned minimal reaction of ~106.0? Thanks.
ReplyDeleteIt is possible this or next year 8y cycle low when the stock make there high and 8y cycle high 2028 when the stocks make their low.
DeleteThanks much for your input/analysis.
DeleteLast Friday 20d low?
ReplyDeleteMost likely yes, one more 20d cycle for 20w low will be perfect.
DeleteMay be 5w low
ReplyDeleteLess likely, in this case the second 10w cycle will be only 6 weeks long.
DeleteWould a 20d cycle high next exceed the recent ath ? Thx a lot for for work Krasi !
ReplyDeleteIn theory it should not, but many times in the last years we saw b/x waves making higher high.
DeleteFor example the last important highs December-February.