Jan 5, 2025

2025 what to expect....

Sharp decline the first half of the year in the range 20%-30% followed by retracement or higher high... probably for the rest of the year. After we see the decline we can make some conclusions what to expect after that.

From pattern perspective the move from the important low in 2022 is complete and we have two legs from the covid low in 2020. So either we have:
- completed pattern zig-zag and reversal, the first decline is usually followed by deep retracement.
- or wave 4 decline of the same degree as the one from 2022 followed by wave 5 and higher high.

From cycle perspective... explained already how the 7 year cyle and 9 year Hurst cycle synchronize:
- the 7 year cycle has series of short-short/long-long cycles and next year is time for the next important cycle low.
- the 9 year Hurst cycle - if you stick to the theory next year should be 4 year cycle low followed by M-pattern and reversal into 9y cycle low.
Best fit 4y cycle and the 40w cycle since 2020, the pattern - impulse shown which is not a guarentee.....

27 comments:

  1. oh man! this sounds like this year is gonna be a buy the dip year again! if your chart is correct, then DCA now may not be that bad thing after all.

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    1. Are you kidding him, huh?

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    2. Do not cheer prematurely......

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    3. so this rally can retrace to what level? I see 6030?

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  2. 4800 isn't a bad drop at all. not the end of the world. kinda drop. nothing to be scared.

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    1. Yes, nothing burger 20% lower today 100% higher tomorrow....
      Let me guess the crypto generation...
      Another prediction for you - you and all of your generation will lose everything.

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  3. Another double digit rise likely for sp500 and global indices, let's prepare for the new Trump era and the return of common sense, once Western communism is put at the door. Giorgia Meloni Musk and Trump for a better World.

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    1. Obviously you bought "Trump the savior" bullshit good luck with that.
      Trump, Musk,Meloni and all of their kind are installed actors for the sheeple to think that they have a choice and they are winning against the bad guys.
      The awakening will be really rude..... if you awake at all. It is just part of the same theater.....

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    2. .KAMALA AND YOUR KOMUNIST FRIENDS LOST KRASI, GET OVER IT.

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    3. I could not care less about Kamala or Trump , both camps are the same - they are just puppets...
      There is no fight between left and right or what ever you imagine.
      The end result will be the same no matter which puppet is called US president.
      It is just a theater for the sheeple to believe that they have a choice.

      The puppet masters are playing both sides and have exactly what they wanted - so biased and emotionally invested that you will buy every bullshit coming from his mouth and mean while he will demolish what is left from the US empire and you will cheer him.... all by design.
      But look at the bright side Kamala me and my communist friends lost:))))

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  4. Thank you Krasi

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  5. Hi Krasi, First, Thank you....question: on your last chart, the 4Y (4) , what time or month it coucle be? Regards, Hamid

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  6. Wow. This sure got weird.
    Happy New Year, Krasi. We may have an interesting one.

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  7. Krasi, how can we protect our lives from the "bad guys"?, money, health, etc

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    Replies
    1. I do not have a recipe.... most important no fear, this is how they control people.

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  8. 20d low coming soon ???

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    1. Not really 4 days from the last low... more likely 5w high.

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    2. 5week high is what estimated target?

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    3. around the current levels - triangle

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  9. Congratulation, your charts are coming true...Thanks, Hamid

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  10. Way too early for congrats …chart points to 4800

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    1. I dont care about value or numbers, Direction is matter. Hamid

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    2. I would congrats you if you could put a single post, and say what is your prediction, My Grand ma can do posts like yours too.

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  11. Yeah if it goes down 1 point that is what matters - ridiculous

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    1. If Direction and points were exactly come true, then he would not post it here for you for Free Idiot, Learn , Market is Trend, not 4800 comes true or what. Trend and direction are your friend.

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  12. No Body forced you to read here and put ridiculous comments and Negativity.

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