Apr 19, 2026
Update
This is 4y cycle high do not get too excited. The usual tech stocks... and the other indices just double top.
Probably impulse with extended third wave. The usual Fibo measurements for such pattern are shown.
Less likely extended fifth wave.
Possible big picture pattern.... many see impulse
Zig-zag and expanded flat work perfect. All the a/b/c are at 20w highs/lows and all at Fibo levels.
What is the character of this wave - extreme speed so third or c. Is this something in the middle or the end - both pattern and cycles are saying something is ending. Which means this is most likely c-wave.
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Neely's back at it again - "THE 26 YEAR BEAR MARKET IS OVER! Expect a "Roaring 20's" Style Stock Market Advance the next 10 Years!". Detail: "Since the peak of the dot.com bubble, I’ve been telling customers (and the public) that a 20-30 year bear market began at the high in the year 2000. Following that peak, wave-4 has formed a NEoWave neutral Triangle. The last leg (wave-e) of that neutral Triangle turned out to be a contracting Triangle (the covid “crash” was wave-a of the smaller Triangle). BOTH the larger neutral Triangle (starting in 2000) and the smaller contracting Triangle (starting in 2020) ARE NOW COMPLETE!! Consequently, the U.S. STOCK MARKET is now EMBARKING on the MOST POWERFUL BULL MARKET of the LAST 100 YEARS! Based on NEoWave structure (not to be confused with more simplistic, orthodox Elliott Wave), the S&P will QUADRUPLE in value the next 10 years! This will be the most exciting, powerful bull market since the roaring 1920’s!" There ya go. Easy peasy.
ReplyDeleteIf this is 4y high, summer should be 4y low?
ReplyDeleteif that is not the case, when will the next 4y low and high?
no, the low in the summer is not 4y low.
Delete7y cycle - https://invst.ly/1gwn7-
9y cycle - https://invst.ly/1gwn8w
So this means the next move will either be the 7 or 9 year low? How do you determine the size of the pullback? Is it a percentage pullback from the high? Trying to understand why it goes that low.
DeleteBecause it is correction of higher degree. After such greed follows mean reversion the history says 50%-75%
DeleteUpdated first chart
ReplyDeleteFlat correction touching the trend line w4 should be completed - https://invst.ly/1gwohh
February 2025 could also have been 4y high, 3 years since 2022 highs
ReplyDeleteI doubt it.
DeleteAccording to your charts, if it is 4y high 2029-2030 too, but 2029-2030 you have put 4y low. It can't be both
DeleteThere is no expected 4y low in 2029-2030.
DeleteCare to share your view on DAX as well? Thx
ReplyDeleteSomething like this - https://invst.ly/1gx8m9
Delete