Dec 3, 2015

Update

Last time I wrote that an impulse is the obvious choice, but a zig-zag lower and than another move higher will fit better. Looking how the DAX reacts today after the ECB meeting and SP500 struggling to rally above 2090 for two weeks I think the preferred scenario has higher probability.

The white numbers are the short term cycles. I suspect that instead of two 40 day cycles we will see three shorter daily cycles which will finish a 20 week cycle.

Here is the impulse scenario. I think it has low probability, but lets keep an eye on it.
If the prices find support around MA200 the 2060-2065 area and turn higher there is still a chance for this scenario.

4 comments:

  1. Wave 4 can never overlap Wave 1.

    http://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school:market_analysis:elliott_wave_theory

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  2. Krasi,

    Are you posting a weekend update this week? If not, I would like to know where you think we are now on SPX.

    Thanks!

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    Replies
    1. I will post post weekend update this week:)

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